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Florida

Trump-Backed Byron Donalds Maintains Substantial Lead as Florida GOP Primary Nears End

Is Donald Trump about to once again hand-select the next leader of Florida? The president has boasted for years that it was his endorsement of Ron DeSantis when he was a longshot in his race against Adam Putnam that boosted…

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Key points

  • U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holds a lead of over 30 points in the Florida GOP gubernatorial primary, heavily supported by an endorsement from Donald Trump.
  • Primary rivals Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, and former House Speaker Paul Renner remain in a close contest for second place.
  • In the Democratic primary, former U.S. Rep. David Jolly leads the field following the withdrawal of Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings.

— As voters across Pensacola and Northwest Florida prepare for the conclusion of primary balloting on Aug. 8, U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds holds a dominant lead in the Republican primary for Florida governor, propelled significantly by an endorsement from President Donald Trump. According to a report first published by the Florida Phoenix, Donalds has consistently led the field since entering the race in early 2025, leaving rival conservative candidates competing in a distant secondary field.

Polling Advantage and Platform Focus

Polling aggregates compiled by FiftyPlusOne place Donalds at 43% support, holding a lead of more than 30 percentage points over his closest primary challengers. Investment CEO James Fishback stands at 12.1%, followed by Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 11.5%. A separate survey conducted by the Tyson Group showed Donalds reaching 48% among likely primary voters, while former Florida House Speaker Paul Renner registered at 4% and approximately a quarter of respondents remained undecided.

Donalds has outlined key policy priorities on the campaign trail, including tax relief and housing affordability. He stated that if voters reject Amendment 3 in November, he intends to address property tax reductions through the state’s Taxation and Budget Reform Commission. On housing, Donalds advocates for shortening municipal permitting processes to reduce construction overhead. Addressing the growth of technology infrastructure, Donalds has proposed legislation requiring data center developers—rather than local taxpayers—to absorb infrastructure development costs.

Contenders Battle for Second Place

Primary opponents have sought to gain ground through legal challenges and policy debates. Collins recently mounted an unsuccessful court challenge questioning Fishback’s residency eligibility, though state courts allowed Fishback to remain on the ballot. Collins acknowledged the influence of national endorsements on the primary dynamic, telling reporters that voters supporting the front-runner “are largely voting for him because of the president’s endorsement, not because of Byron,” according to the Florida Phoenix.

Fishback, who has drawn attention among younger voters despite facing opposition from major political committees and state party leadership, characterized the pushback as evidence of establishment pressure. “We are the only campaign who has directly been targeted in attack ads other than Byron Donalds,” Fishback said in statements reported by the Florida Phoenix. “That should tell you everything that you need to know about the establishment fearing us.”

Meanwhile, Renner has campaigned on policy proposals focused on homestead property tax reductions and highlighted his legislative record during his tenure as House Speaker, including tax and regulatory measures passed during previous sessions under Gov. DeSantis.

Overview of the Democratic Field

In the Democratic primary, former Republican U.S. Rep. David Jolly emerged as the prominent candidate after Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings withdrew from the race two months ago due to health reasons. The Democratic ballot also includes state Rep. Dotie Joseph along with Dayna Marie Foster, Evelyn Castillo-Bach, Thomas Fernandez, and Stephann Norman.

This article was produced with the assistance of AI and reviewed by our editorial team.

Based on reporting by Mitch Perry originally published by Florida Phoenix. Read the original story.

See a typo? Report it here.

Randy Breland is the Managing Editor of NewsWK Pensacola, covering local government, public safety, and Gulf Coast community news. A retired U.S. military veteran and Pensacola resident, Randy brings a commitment to accuracy and accountability journalism to Escambia County and the surrounding region. He has called the Gulf Coast home for several years and covers breaking news, civic affairs, and community events across Northwest Florida. https://www.linkedin.com/in/randybreland/ To contact Randy you can email him at News@pensacola.newswk.com

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