Florida
Poll Shows Republican Leads in Florida Senate Race Ahead of Midterms
A new poll of likely midterm election voters in Florida shows Republicans maintaining steady leads in the marquee gubernatorial and Senate races on the ballot in November. The survey of 848 likely Florida midterm voters conducted earlier this month by…
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Key points
- Ashley Moody leads her nearest Democratic challenger, Angie Nixon, by 8 points in a recent poll.
- The survey indicates that support for Amendment 3 drops significantly when potential budget impacts are considered.
- The poll was conducted between July 8 and July 17, 2026, with a margin of error of +/- 3.8%.
NewsWK — A recent poll of likely voters in Florida reveals that Republican U.S. Senator Ashley Moody holds a significant lead over her Democratic challengers as the state prepares for the upcoming midterm elections in November. Conducted by the Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida, the survey included responses from 848 participants between July 8 and July 17, 2026.
In the race for U.S. Senate, Moody is leading state Representative Angie Nixon by 8 points, with a reported 50% to 42% advantage. Against retired Army Lieutenant Colonel Alexander Vindman, Moody’s lead is slightly larger at 50% to 40%. Despite Moody’s polling strength, Vindman has outpaced Nixon in fundraising, securing $16.7 million compared to Nixon’s $625,000, which includes around $118,000 in cash on hand as of the end of June.
Sean Freeder, the faculty director at PORL, noted that while the races are closer than in previous election cycles, this is expected as the party in control of the presidency often faces challenges during midterms. He stated, “Despite very different ideological approaches, the two Democratic Senate candidates do about as well as one another, suggesting the party’s internal debate over whether to move left or stay centrist may not much affect the behavior of voters, or at least that they aren’t paying attention yet.”
Additionally, the poll addressed Amendment 3, which aims to phase out taxes on non-school homestead properties. Initially, the amendment received 61% support but saw a significant drop in backing when voters were informed that it could lead to an estimated $11.8 billion budget shortfall for local municipalities over two years. Following this information, support fell to 45%, with 47% opposing the amendment. It is important to note that the estimated budget shortfall would occur over five years, not two, according to state economists.
This article was produced with the assistance of AI and reviewed by our editorial team.
Based on reporting by Mitch Perry originally published by Florida Phoenix. Read the original story.
