Weather Alerts
Tropical Cyclone Local Statement: Choctaw; Washington; Clarke; Wilcox; Monroe; Conecuh; Butler; Crenshaw; Escambia; Covington; Mobile Inland; Baldwin Inland; Mobile Central; Baldwin Central; Mobile Coastal; Baldwin Coastal; Escambia Inland; Escambia Coastal; Santa Rosa Inland; Santa Rosa Coastal; Okaloosa Inland; Okaloosa Coastal; Wayne; Perry; Greene; Stone; George
About Hurricane Isaias Pensacola
Last updated:
Affected area: Choctaw; Washington; Clarke; Wilcox; Monroe; Conecuh; Butler; Crenshaw; Escambia; Covington; Mobile Inland; Baldwin Inland; Mobile Central; Baldwin Central; Mobile Coastal; Baldwin Coastal; Escambia Inland; Escambia Coastal; Santa Rosa Inland; Santa Rosa Coastal; Okaloosa Inland; Okaloosa Coastal; Wayne; Perry; Greene; Stone; George
Severity: Moderate · Effective: October 8, 2026 4:23 am · Expires: October 8, 2026 12:30 pm
HLSMOB
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama…northwest Florida…south
central Alabama…and inland southeast Mississippi.
**NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT ISAIAS CONTINUES TO
INTENSIFY**
NEW INFORMATION
—————
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
– None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
– A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa
Coastal
– A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Escambia
Inland, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
– A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Conecuh, Covington, and
Escambia
– A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Butler, Clarke,
Crenshaw, George, Greene, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox
* STORM INFORMATION:
– About 540 miles south-southwest of Mobile AL or about 550 miles
south-southwest of Pensacola FL
– 23.3N 91.2W
– Storm Intensity 80 mph
– Movement East-northeast or 60 degrees at 9 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
——————
Isaias has strengthened to a hurricane and should continue to
intensify through Friday morning. Isaias is currently moving east-
northeast and should eventually turn northward and accelerate towards
the north central Gulf coast. As it nears the coast, wind fields will
expand with the potential for significant wind impacts and a life
threatening storm surge along and to the east of where the hurricane
makes landfall. There still remains uncertainty with the eventual
speed and track of the hurricane so everyone should continue to
closely monitor the latest forecast over the next few days.
Areas of heavy rainfall and flooding are possible although with the
fast speed of the hurricane at landfall we are currently expecting
3 to 7 inches with localized amounts up to 10 inches near the coast.
In addition, a favorable environment for tornadoes will also develop
to the east of the track as it moves inland Friday through Saturday.
Please continue to monitor the latest forecast updates and follow the
advise of your local emergency management officials.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
—————–
* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts
across the Alabama and western Florida panhandle coasts. Potential
impacts in this area include:
– Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
– Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
– Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
– Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama…northwest
Florida…south central Alabama…and inland southeast Mississippi,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across southwest and portions of south central Alabama and
the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in this area include:
– Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
– Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
– Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
– Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across southeast Mississippi and the remainder of
southwest Alabama.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across portions of coastal Alabama…northwest Florida…south
central Alabama. Potential impacts include:
– The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
– Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.
– Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or
uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.
Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across interior southwest Alabama.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across coastal Alabama and the western Florida
panhandle. Potential impacts include:
– Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
– Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
become stressed.
– Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across interior areas of southwest and south central Alabama.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
———————————-
* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
– For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information…please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
– Coastal Alabama:
– Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
– Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov
– Northwest Florida:
– Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready
– Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
– Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management
– For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
– For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
———–
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
Source: NWS Mobile AL (U.S. National Weather Service). Always follow official guidance. weather.gov
Related: Pensacola heat advisory: Aviso de calor emitido para el noroeste de Florida y condados vecinos
Related: Heat advisory Northwest Florida: Aviso de calor emitido para condados de la región
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